Hi guys.
Looks like our 1st real snowstorm in years is coming. Models are all getting colder and snowier as we approach the event. That usually means to lean on the snowier models.
In my opinion, this is a widespread 4"-8"/5"-10" type snowfall.
Will start as rain at around 4am and then flip...
Monday night into Tuesday storm:
There will be a strong noreaster that stalls and takes it time to leave the area. Coastal flooding and beach erosion could be moderate to severe.
Depending on the exact track, it could be all rain/mostly rain or it could be a blizzard.
Right now I would lean...
Tomorrow night has marginal temps. 33-35 degrees.
I believe 1”-3” of wet snow for coastal areas. 2”-5” north and west of NYC.
There is potential for a much larger storm for March 3-4. Track is undetermined still and would be the difference between 10” and rain.
Update. Some models have a chance of a minor accumulating snow fall or 2 next week.
Decent chance at finally seeing our 1st accumulating event next week.
Quick update. Snow chance for Jan. 25-27 quickly fell apart on the models.
It's one of those years where it just doesn't want to snow.
I will update if anything changes in February.
Hi everyone. Just a quick update.
Winter tries to make a return Jan. 25-Feb. 5th period.
Some models are keying in on Jan. 25-27 period for our 1st real snow event.
Something to keep an eye out for.
The next 10-12 days will be well above normal. Temps will be in the 50s and 60s most days.
The prospects of a snowy winter are quickly falling. NYC winters with a trace or 0" through January 10th, only average about 13" in their 150+ year history.
But like in 2016, a rogue blizzard could...
Dont fall for the flash freeze talk that some inexperienced people are touting either. Wont happen.
Rain shuts off 3-6 hours before the front and temps crash. Winds will switch to the NW, which brings in very dry air and any rain will dry out before the freeze ever gets to the coast.
The only...
Hi everyone. Long time...
There is no snow storm for our area this week and there hasn't been a chance for a few days. Models had it a week ago but the upper air pattern did not materialize and the storm is cutting to Chicago.
It will be a very warm Thursday and Friday with temps pushing into...
I am officially proclaiming winter to be over after this weekend.
No more cold or snow.
Spring is here.
P.S. Tomorrow is a non-issue for the coast. Heavy rain followed by a 3-5 hour period of snow. Minor accumulations from 12pm to 5pm.
Models have a complete break down of winter starting this Wednesday.
Every model has a very warm next 3 weeks and it gets warmer as we head to the end of February.
Sustained cold is over, in my opinion, and we will have record heat towards the end of February and into early March.
Early season...
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