I already wrote a partial review, never should have been published. The "important graphs" have absolutely no correlation to the points that HAL says they make. A new low in AI-generated material.
The YOY studies from the Chesapeake only tell the managers how many fish spawned and made it through from the spawn to the fall. When you compare that to adult populations, the data and HAL clearly show that a poor YOY class means there won't be many fish from that year's class reaching adulthood, the YOY is an excellent predictor of that. Now the $100 million is which of the many variables caused the poor spawn???
- Poor hatching
- Poor water conditions
- Water pollutants impacting the spawn/killing the fry post hatch
- Insufficient nutrients for the fry to grow
- Did the fry get eaten by other fish/birds
The observations that medium and high YOYs don't necessarily directly correlate with the adult biomass makes sense since biomass surveys that are done years after the spawn don't have any handle on what happened to the fish as they grew and migrated. Did they get sick, caught, eaten, etc?
If this officially fraudulent is the best AI can offer right now, it's truly a sad statement.
MD YOY studies can be easily summed up.
A poor one, like we've been seeing the past SIX years means we're in deep trouble, which all of us are starting to see.
Better ones don't necessarily directly translate into "Happy Days Are Hear Again" because we don't know how these fish will do in future years, but a few good ones in a row would certainly mean things are looking brighter, and that light and that light isn't an LIRR train coming out of the tunnel under the East River...
Sorry George, I know you hold AI in high esteem, but this is a poster child of how AI doesn't always know what its doing.
The YOY studies from the Chesapeake only tell the managers how many fish spawned and made it through from the spawn to the fall. When you compare that to adult populations, the data and HAL clearly show that a poor YOY class means there won't be many fish from that year's class reaching adulthood, the YOY is an excellent predictor of that. Now the $100 million is which of the many variables caused the poor spawn???
- Poor hatching
- Poor water conditions
- Water pollutants impacting the spawn/killing the fry post hatch
- Insufficient nutrients for the fry to grow
- Did the fry get eaten by other fish/birds
The observations that medium and high YOYs don't necessarily directly correlate with the adult biomass makes sense since biomass surveys that are done years after the spawn don't have any handle on what happened to the fish as they grew and migrated. Did they get sick, caught, eaten, etc?
If this officially fraudulent is the best AI can offer right now, it's truly a sad statement.
MD YOY studies can be easily summed up.
A poor one, like we've been seeing the past SIX years means we're in deep trouble, which all of us are starting to see.
Better ones don't necessarily directly translate into "Happy Days Are Hear Again" because we don't know how these fish will do in future years, but a few good ones in a row would certainly mean things are looking brighter, and that light and that light isn't an LIRR train coming out of the tunnel under the East River...
Sorry George, I know you hold AI in high esteem, but this is a poster child of how AI doesn't always know what its doing.