Captain Jack's Offshore Pelagic Analysis - November 25, 2025

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Captain Jack's Offshore Pelagic Analysis - November 25, 2025
Professional Fisheries Assessment: Long Island Offshore Waters

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY & CRITICAL REGULATORY STATUS

The offshore pelagic fishery off Long Island is experiencing exceptional late-season activity, with giant bluefin tuna dominating the inshore and nearshore zones in catch-and-release mode. While the recreational bluefin fishery remains under strict catch-and-release protocols due to quota closures, the fishing itself has been nothing short of spectacular. Anglers are experiencing what many are calling the best days of offshore fishing in a lifetime, with massive bluefin tuna feeding aggressively on bunker pods from the inshore waters all the way out to the canyon edges.

CRITICAL REGULATORY NOTE: The recreational bluefin tuna fishery is currently CLOSED for harvest. All bluefin must be released. Proper catch-and-release techniques are essential—boatside releases are strongly encouraged, and if fish must be brought aboard for unhooking, minimize air exposure and handle fish with extreme care to maximize survival rates.

WEATHER WINDOW ALERT: A significant offshore weather event is developing. Today (Tuesday) offers fishable conditions with south winds 15-25 knots and seas 3-4 feet. Tonight through Wednesday conditions deteriorate with winds 20-30 knots and seas 4-8 feet. Thursday through Friday will be unfishable with west winds 25-35 knots and seas 7-12 feet. Gale force winds are possible Friday night. Saturday shows improvement. Bottom line: if you're going offshore, today is your window.

BIOLOGIST'S PERSPECTIVE: ENVIRONMENTAL DRIVERS & PELAGIC DYNAMICS

The current offshore scenario is driven by a convergence of favorable oceanographic and biological factors that have created exceptional feeding conditions for pelagic species. Let me break down the science behind what we're seeing.

Sea Surface Temperature & Thermocline Structure:
Water temperatures in the offshore zone are ranging from 54-58°F at the surface, with the thermocline positioned at approximately 80-120 feet depending on location. This temperature profile is ideal for late-season bluefin tuna activity. The fish are comfortable in these cooler temperatures and are feeding aggressively to build energy reserves before their winter migration. The temperature gradient is creating distinct feeding zones, with baitfish concentrating along the thermocline and predators working both above and below this boundary.

Ocean Current Activity & Eddy Formation:
The Gulf Stream's northern edge is positioned approximately 100-120 nautical miles offshore, with warm-core eddies and fingers extending northward into the canyon systems. These warm water intrusions are creating temperature breaks and convergence zones that concentrate bait and attract pelagic predators. The current activity is moderate, with the Stream flowing northeast at approximately 2-3 knots. The eddy activity in the Hudson Canyon to Block Canyon corridor is creating productive fishing zones where warm and cool water masses meet.

Lunar Phase & Tidal Influences:
We just passed the new moon on November 20th, and we're now in the waxing crescent phase building toward the full moon on December 4th. The moderate tidal range is creating sufficient current flow to activate feeding behavior without creating excessive turbulence. The lunar influence on pelagic species is often underestimated—the increased nighttime darkness during the new moon phase enhances bioluminescence and concentrates baitfish, which in turn attracts predators. We're in an optimal lunar window for the next 7-10 days.

Bait Concentrations & Forage Base:
The key to understanding the current bite is the bait. We're seeing massive concentrations of Atlantic menhaden (bunker) from the inshore waters extending out to approximately 20-30 miles offshore. These bunker schools are the primary target for bluefin tuna, and the fish are feeding with abandon. Additionally, we have sand eels, squid, and mackerel in the mix, providing diverse forage opportunities. The bunker schools are tight to the surface in many areas, creating visual feeding opportunities and spectacular surface action.

Migration Patterns & Seasonal Cycles:
Late November represents the tail end of the fall bluefin migration along the northeastern seaboard. The fish we're seeing now are predominantly large adults (200-500+ pounds) that are staging before their offshore migration to spawning grounds. These fish are in hyperphagia—aggressive feeding mode—to build lipid reserves for the migration and spawning cycle ahead. This biological imperative is driving the exceptional feeding behavior we're witnessing.

SOUTH-TO-NORTH GEOGRAPHICAL ANALYSIS

🧭 HUDSON CANYON - November 25, 2025

The Hudson Canyon system, positioned approximately 90-100 nautical miles southeast of New York Harbor, remains the premier offshore destination for pelagic action. The canyon's bathymetry creates upwelling zones that concentrate nutrients and bait, which in turn attracts the full spectrum of offshore predators.

Current Activity: Giant bluefin tuna are the dominant species, with fish ranging from 200 pounds to well over 500 pounds. The fish are concentrated in the 100-300 foot depth range, feeding on bunker schools that are being pushed to the surface by the tuna. The action has been consistent from the canyon's western edge (approximately 39°50'N, 72°30'W) extending eastward along the northern rim.

Tactical Approach: Trolling has been highly effective using spreader bars with ballyhoo, Captain America-style chutes, and large swimming plugs. The key is covering water to locate active bunker schools—when you find bunker, you'll find tuna. Chunking has also been productive, particularly during slack tide periods. Set up a chum slick with butterfish or mackerel chunks, and the tuna will find you. Jigging with large butterfly jigs (200-400 grams) in the 80-150 foot zone has produced explosive strikes.

Best Timing: Early morning (first light to 9:00 AM) has been prime time, with a secondary bite window in late afternoon (3:00 PM to dusk). The fish are feeding throughout the day when bunker are present, but the dawn and dusk periods have been most consistent.

Oceanographic Notes: Water clarity is excellent (40-60 feet visibility), water temperature 56-58°F at surface, thermocline at 100-120 feet. Moderate current flow from southwest to northeast. Scattered weed lines on the northern edge of the canyon are holding mahi-mahi and occasionally wahoo.

🧭 ATLANTIS CANYON - November 25, 2025

Atlantis Canyon, positioned northeast of Hudson Canyon (approximately 40°00'N, 71°50'W), offers similar bluefin tuna opportunities with slightly less fishing pressure. The canyon's structure creates productive fishing zones along both the northern and southern rims.

Current Activity: Bluefin tuna in the 250-400 pound class are actively feeding on bunker and squid. The fish are spread throughout the water column, with surface feeding activity during early morning and late afternoon, and deeper feeding (80-150 feet) during midday. Bigeye tuna have been reported in the deeper water (300-500 feet) during nighttime and early morning hours, though the bite has been sporadic.

Tactical Approach: Trolling the canyon edges with large swimming plugs and spreader bars has been effective. The key is varying your spread—run some lures on the surface, some in the mid-column (30-50 feet), and some deeper (80-100 feet) to cover the water column. When you hook up, note the depth and adjust your spread accordingly. Chunking on the drift has been productive, particularly on the northern rim where current creates a natural feeding lane.

Best Timing: First light to mid-morning (5:30 AM to 10:00 AM) has been the hot window. The afternoon bite has been less consistent than Hudson Canyon, but when it's on, it's explosive.

Oceanographic Notes: Water temperature 55-57°F, excellent clarity, moderate northeast current. The canyon's head (shallowest point) is holding concentrations of bait and should be a primary target area.

🧭 BLOCK CANYON - November 25, 2025

Block Canyon, the northernmost of the major canyon systems (approximately 40°30'N, 71°00'W), has been producing excellent bluefin action with the added benefit of being slightly closer to Montauk (approximately 60-70 nautical miles).

Current Activity: Giant bluefin tuna are the primary target, with fish in the 300-600 pound range being reported. The canyon's northern edge has been particularly productive, with bunker schools concentrated along the 150-250 foot depth contour. The fish are feeding aggressively on the surface when bunker are present, and working deeper structure when bait moves down.

Tactical Approach: Trolling large swimming plugs, spreader bars, and daisy chains has been the go-to method. Speed matters—most successful boats are trolling at 6-8 knots to cover water and trigger reaction strikes. When you locate feeding fish, slow down and work the area thoroughly. Jigging has been exceptional when fish are marked on the sounder—drop large butterfly jigs or vertical jigs and work them aggressively through the zone.

Best Timing: The bite has been consistent throughout the day when conditions are right, but early morning (first light to 9:00 AM) remains the prime window. The fish seem less affected by sun angle here compared to the southern canyons, possibly due to water clarity and depth.

Oceanographic Notes: Water temperature 54-56°F, excellent clarity, light to moderate current from the south. The canyon's structure creates upwelling that concentrates bait—target the edges and the head of the canyon for best results.

🧭 TOMS CANYON - November 25, 2025

Toms Canyon, positioned south of Block Canyon and east of Atlantis Canyon (approximately 39°45'N, 71°30'W), has been producing mixed pelagic action with bluefin tuna, occasional yellowfin tuna, and mahi-mahi.

Current Activity: Bluefin tuna in the 200-350 pound class are present, though concentrations are lighter than the northern canyons. Yellowfin tuna (20-60 pounds) have been reported sporadically, primarily on the troll. Mahi-mahi (5-25 pounds) are scattered along weed lines and debris fields on the canyon's edges.

Tactical Approach: Multi-species trolling spreads are effective here—run a mix of lures targeting bluefin (large plugs, spreader bars) and smaller lures for yellowfin and mahi (small plugs, feathers, ballyhoo). Work the weed lines thoroughly, as they're holding mahi and occasionally wahoo. Chunking for bluefin has been productive on the northern rim.

Best Timing: Early morning for bluefin, midday for mahi-mahi and yellowfin. The afternoon has been slow for bluefin but can produce mahi action if you work the weed lines.

Oceanographic Notes: Water temperature 56-58°F, good clarity, moderate current. The warmer water here (compared to Block Canyon) is attracting more diverse species but fewer giant bluefin.

🧭 FISHTAILS / BACARDI GROUNDS - November 25, 2025

The Fishtails area and Bacardi Grounds, positioned between the deep canyons and the Montauk inshore grounds (approximately 40°15'N, 71°30'W), have been producing excellent nearshore pelagic action.

Current Activity: This zone has been exceptional for bluefin tuna in the 150-300 pound class. The fish are feeding on bunker schools that are concentrated in the 80-180 foot depth range. The action has been more consistent here than the deeper canyons on some days, as the bunker schools are more stable in this depth zone.

Tactical Approach: Trolling with medium to large swimming plugs and spreader bars is highly effective. The shallower water allows for more visual fishing—watch for bird activity, surface disturbances, and bunker schools. When you locate feeding fish, switch to chunking or jigging to maximize your catch-and-release opportunities. The Bacardi Wreck (approximately 180 feet) has been holding bait and attracting tuna.

Best Timing: All day when bunker are present. The fish are less tide-dependent here and more bait-dependent. Find the bunker, find the tuna.

Oceanographic Notes: Water temperature 54-56°F, excellent clarity, light current. The structure and depth changes in this area create natural bait concentration zones.

🧭 MONTAUK OFFSHORE GROUNDS - November 25, 2025

The Montauk offshore grounds, extending from approximately 10 to 40 nautical miles south and southeast of Montauk Point, have been producing some of the most spectacular fishing of the season.

Current Activity: Giant bluefin tuna are feeding in close—some reports of fish within 15-20 miles of Montauk Point. The fish are ranging from 200 pounds to well over 600 pounds, and they're feeding with reckless abandon on massive bunker schools. The action has been visual and explosive, with surface feeding frenzies that must be seen to be believed. Mixed in with the bluefin are striped bass (10-40 pounds), creating chaotic multi-species blitzes.

Tactical Approach: Run and gun trolling to locate bunker schools and feeding fish. When you find them, deploy multiple tactics—trolling, chunking, jigging, and even casting large topwater plugs to surface-feeding fish. The key is flexibility and speed. The blitzes can be short-lived, so maximize your time in the zone. Proper catch-and-release technique is critical here—these fish are being caught multiple times, and careful handling ensures their survival.

Best Timing: Early morning has been prime (first light to 10:00 AM), but the action has been occurring throughout the day when bunker are present. Late afternoon has also produced excellent fishing.

Oceanographic Notes: Water temperature 52-56°F, good to excellent clarity depending on proximity to shore, light to moderate current. The convergence of cooler inshore water and warmer offshore water is creating a productive mixing zone that concentrates bait.

SPECIES-SPECIFIC ANALYSIS

Bluefin Tuna (Thunnus thynnus):
Current Status: Exceptional abundance and feeding activity. Fish ranging from 150 pounds to 600+ pounds.
Behavioral Patterns: Aggressive surface feeding on bunker schools, particularly during low-light periods. Fish are also feeding subsurface (80-150 feet) during midday when bunker move deeper.
Optimal Techniques: Trolling with large swimming plugs (9-12 inches), spreader bars with ballyhoo, Captain America chutes. Chunking with butterfish or mackerel. Jigging with butterfly jigs (200-400 grams).
Timing: Early morning (first light to 9:00 AM) and late afternoon (3:00 PM to dusk) are prime. Midday can be productive when bunker are located.
Migration Status: Late-stage fall migration. Fish are feeding aggressively before offshore movement. Expect this exceptional fishing to continue for 1-2 more weeks before fish numbers decline significantly.

Yellowfin Tuna (Thunnus albacares):
Current Status: Sporadic presence, primarily in southern canyons (Toms, Hudson).
Behavioral Patterns: Schooling fish in the 20-60 pound range, feeding on squid and small baitfish.
Optimal Techniques: High-speed trolling (8-10 knots) with small to medium swimming plugs, cedar plugs, and ballyhoo. Jigging with smaller jigs (100-200 grams) when fish are located.
Timing: Midday to afternoon has been most productive.
Seasonal Outlook: Numbers are declining as water cools. This fishery is winding down for the season.

Bigeye Tuna (Thunnus obesus):
Current Status: Limited reports, primarily from deep canyon fishing at night.
Behavioral Patterns: Deep feeding (300-600 feet) on squid during nighttime hours.
Optimal Techniques: Deep-dropping with squid or strip baits, slow-trolling with large swimming plugs at depth.
Timing: Nighttime and early morning (pre-dawn) in deep water.
Seasonal Outlook: Marginal opportunity as season winds down.

Mahi-Mahi (Coryphaena hippurus):
Current Status: Scattered presence along weed lines and debris fields.
Behavioral Patterns: Schooling fish in the 5-25 pound range, feeding on small baitfish and squid.
Optimal Techniques: Trolling weed lines with small swimming plugs, ballyhoo, and feathers. Casting to visible fish with jigs or topwater plugs.
Timing: Midday when weed lines are visible and fish are active.
Seasonal Outlook: Declining numbers as water cools. Limited opportunity remaining.

TACTICAL RECOMMENDATIONS - MULTI-SPECIES STRATEGIES

Primary Strategy - Bluefin Focus:
Deploy a trolling spread designed for giant bluefin: two large swimming plugs (9-12 inches) in the short rigger positions, one spreader bar on the long rigger, one Captain America chute on the flat line. Troll at 6-8 knots covering water until you locate bunker schools or feeding fish. When you hook up, note the position and pattern, then return to work the area thoroughly with chunking or jigging.

Bait and Lure Selection:
For bluefin: Large swimming plugs in bunker, mackerel, and mullet patterns. Spreader bars with 9-inch ballyhoo. Butterfly jigs in 200-400 gram range in silver, blue, and pink. For chunking: Fresh butterfish, mackerel, or bunker chunks.

Technology and Fish-Finding:
Modern electronics are essential. High-quality sonar will show you bunker schools and feeding fish. Watch for thick marks in the 80-150 foot range—that's bunker, and tuna will be nearby or underneath. Surface temperature gauges help you locate temperature breaks and convergence zones. Don't overlook visual cues—birds, surface disturbances, and jumping bait are all indicators of feeding activity.

Timing Optimization:
Plan your offshore trips around the early morning bite. Depart well before dawn to be in position at first light. The early morning window (first light to 9:00 AM) has been the most consistent across all zones. If you're fishing all day, work through the midday lull by covering water and locating new bunker schools. The late afternoon bite (3:00 PM to dusk) has been a strong secondary window.

72-HOUR OFFSHORE FORECAST & FISHABILITY

Tuesday, November 26, 2025:
South winds 15-25 knots, seas 3-4 feet. This is a fishable day—your best and possibly only opportunity before the weather deteriorates. The building south wind will create some chop, but conditions are manageable for experienced offshore crews. Target all zones from Montauk grounds to the canyons. The fish should be active, and the bunker schools will be present. Plan for early departure to maximize the morning bite window.
Offshore Fishability: 7/10
Recommended Zones: All zones fishable, prioritize Montauk grounds and Block Canyon for shorter runs

Wednesday, November 27, 2025:
Southwest winds 15-25 knots, seas 4-8 feet. Conditions are marginal to unfishable for most operations. The seas will be building throughout the day, and visibility may be reduced due to rain and low clouds. Only the most experienced crews in the most capable vessels should consider an offshore run, and even then, it's questionable. If you do go, target the closer grounds (Montauk offshore, Fishtails) and plan for an early return.
Offshore Fishability: 3/10 (experienced crews only, close grounds only)
Recommended Zones: Montauk grounds only, not recommended

Thursday, November 28, 2025 (Thanksgiving):
West winds 20-30 knots, seas 5-9 feet. This is unfishable. Stay home, be with family, eat turkey, and be thankful you're not getting beaten up offshore. The canyons will be washing machine conditions, and even the Montauk grounds will be rough and dangerous. There is no fish worth the risk in these conditions.
Offshore Fishability: 1/10 (unsafe, not recommended)
Recommended Zones: None - stay ashore

BOTTOM LINE ASSESSMENT

We are witnessing exceptional late-season offshore fishing driven by massive bluefin tuna concentrations feeding on abundant bunker schools. The biological and oceanographic conditions have aligned to create what many experienced captains are calling the best fishing they've seen in decades. However, this window is closing—both seasonally (as fish migrate offshore) and immediately (due to the approaching weather system).

If you have the capability and experience to fish offshore safely, Tuesday is your day. Make the run, target the bunker schools, and experience this once-in-a-lifetime fishing while it lasts. Respect the catch-and-release regulations, handle fish carefully, and maximize survival rates.

Wednesday is marginal at best. Thursday through Friday are unfishable. Saturday shows improvement but may still be rough.

The fish are here now. The weather window is now. Make it count.

— Captain Jack
Fisheries Biologist | Offshore Specialist
"Science Meets Saltwater"
 

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