HENRI

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Storm is by Block Island and weak. Barely a tropical storm.

It was clear on Friday this storm was not going to be a big LI impact. By yesterday it was almost certain but the media created mass panic.

We dodged a bullet. 3 days ago models had a legit category 2 into central LI.
 
Quick update. Models have shifted east the last 24 hours. And weaker.

I don’t want to downplay it, but it’s nowhere near as bad as it looked 2-3 days ago.

The landfall zone right now is Hamptons to Block Island and east. I would favor Block Island.

The biggest threat now is flooding rains. 3”-8” widespread.

Things can shift quickly so I will update once more time if I see drastic changes.

In terms of intensity, I don’t see this stronger than a high end Tropical Storm or weak Category 1. Favoring a Tropical Storm at landfall. Sustained winds 50-65mph with gusts to 70-80.

This verified. We got lucky because 3 days ago this looked like a major issue for LI.

Thankfully the models backed off Friday and yesterday. Not sure why the media and nhc kept staying with a hurricane and LI landfall.

It was clear that wasn’t happening from Friday night and especially yesterday.
 
This verified. We got lucky because 3 days ago this looked like a major issue for LI.

Thankfully the models backed off Friday and yesterday. Not sure why the media and nhc kept staying with a hurricane and LI landfall.

It was clear that wasn’t happening from Friday night and especially yesterday.
Big media market
It’s all ratings game

panic and stress sell as well as sex
Maybe better
Eyeballs and clicks on the screen
 
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