Hurricane Awareness

[Bassmaster]

 

[Bassmaster]

NICHOLAS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS

 

[Bassmaster]

 

[Bassmaster]

coast.

1. A tropical wave located just west of the African coast is
producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms that are
showing signs of organization. Environmental conditions are
forecast to be conducive for gradual development of this
disturbance over the next several days, and a tropical depression
is likely to form by the weekend while the system moves westward at
about 15 mph across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is expected to form by midweek a couple of
hundred miles north of the southeastern or central Bahamas as a
tropical wave interacts with an upper-level trough. Some gradual
development of this system is forecast thereafter, and a tropical
depression could form later this week while the system moves
north-northwestward or northward across the western Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

 

[Bassmaster]

11am next update

 

[Bassmaster]

 

[Bassmaster]

5pm update

 

[Bassmaster]

Weather Outlook (en Español*) 200 PM EDT Tue Sep 14​ ​

e​ ...NICHOLAS MOVING SLOWLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE HOUSTON METROPOLITAN AREA... ...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE DEEP SOUTH DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...

 

[Bassmaster]

Last update on Nicholas

 

[Bassmaster]

Nicholas is only moving 6 mph flash flood warnings and emergencies are happening. Could see over 20 inches of rain I texas hopefully this doesn't stall.

 

[Bassmaster]

8pm next update

 

[Bassmaster]

Full 8pm update.

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure area
located a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands are
becoming better organized. Environmental conditions are expected
to remain conducive for development, and a tropical depression is
likely to form during the next couple of days while system moves
generally westward at about 15 mph across the eastern tropical
Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. A trough of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles
north-northeast of the southeastern Bahamas is producing a large
area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive for gradual
development during the next few days, and a tropical depression is
likely to form while the system moves north-northwestward to
northward across the western Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5

days...high...70 percent.

 

[Bassmaster]

Around the clock updates on these systems. Next update if the percentages go up or a depression or storm form.

 

[Roccus7]

Great image today of world wide cyclone paths. Guess if you never want to deal with one, you should move to the South American coast... The post on the Astronomy Picture of the Day site, here: APOD: 2021 September 15 - Cyclone Paths on Planet Earth is interactive and you can zoom on any area..

 

[Bassmaster]

That is cool. Nothing new with the systems in the Atlantic. Next update is when a depression or storm forms. There are two that I am watching and when there is an update I will come in.

 

[Bassmaster]

 

[Bassmaster]

 

[Bassmaster]

Next update when a depression or storm form which will be very soon

 

[Bassmaster]

 

[Bassmaster]

Last update unless the track changes. This might cause rough surf and rip currents