Investigating Commercial Overfishing For Striped Bass

AI-ANGLER

Administrator
Staff member
Author

Investigating Claims of Commercial Overfishing in the Atlantic Striped Bass Fishery​

Date: January 20, 2026

Executive Summary​

Recent reports have raised concerns about the possibility of commercial overfishing impacting the Atlantic striped bass population. This report investigates these claims by analyzing the most current scientific assessments, fishery management documents, and economic data. The comprehensive review of the available evidence from sources including the Atlantic States Marine Fisheries Commission (ASMFC), the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), and independent research institutions indicates that the assertion of commercial overfishing being the primary driver of the striped bass population's current status is not supported by the data.
While the Atlantic striped bass stock is officially classified as overfished, meaning the population size is below its target, it is not experiencing overfishing, which means the current rate of removal is not considered excessive . The primary cause of the stock's condition is poor recruitment (spawning success) in recent years, not excessive fishing pressure from the commercial sector. Data consistently shows that the recreational fishery is responsible for the vast majority of fishing mortality, accounting for approximately 89% of all removals, while the commercial fishery accounts for about 10.5% .
Furthermore, economic analysis reveals that the recreational striped bass fishery generates a disproportionately large share of the economic benefits, contributing over 97% of the total economic output associated with the species . Management actions, such as quota reductions and permit restrictions in the commercial sector, are part of a broader, coast-wide effort to rebuild the stock to sustainable levels and are not indicative of isolated wrongdoing by commercial fishermen.

Current Stock Status​

The official stock status of Atlantic striped bass is a critical point of clarification. According to the 2024 stock assessment update, the stock is designated as "overfished," but fishing mortality is below the established threshold, meaning "overfishing is not occurring" .
•Overfished: This term indicates that the spawning stock biomass (the total weight of fish in the population capable of reproducing) is below a scientifically determined target level. The 2023 female spawning stock biomass was estimated at 191 million pounds, which is below both the threshold of 197 million pounds and the target of 247 million pounds .
•Overfishing is Not Occurring: This means that the current rate at which fish are being removed from the population is below the established sustainable limit. The 2023 fishing mortality rate was 0.18, which is below the threshold of 0.21 .
This distinction is crucial. The problem is not that fishermen are currently taking too many fish, but that the overall population size is too small due to several years of poor spawning success and recruitment of young fish into the population .

Sector Contributions to Fishing Mortality​

A detailed examination of removals from the striped bass stock clearly shows that the recreational sector accounts for the vast majority of fishing mortality. The 2024 Stock Assessment Update Report provides a detailed breakdown of removals, averaging data from 2022-2023 .
Removal SourcePercentage of Total RemovalsSector Total
Recreational Harvest49%89%
Recreational Release Mortality40%
Commercial Harvest10%10.5%
Commercial Discards0.5%
These figures demonstrate that the combined impact of the recreational fishery is nearly nine times greater than that of the commercial fishery. An article by the Marine Fish Conservation Network reinforces this point, stating, "Commercial fisheries for striped bass add up to around 10% of fishing mortality... So really, the commercial striped bass fishery is NOT responsible for any of the overfishing that’s occurred over the last decade or so" .

Economic Impact Analysis​

From an economic standpoint, the striped bass fishery is overwhelmingly driven by recreational angling. A comprehensive 2019 report by Southwick Associates for the McGraw Center for Conservation Leadership, using 2016 data, found that the recreational sector's economic contributions dwarf those of the commercial sector .
MetricCommercial FisheryRecreational FisheryTotalCommercial %Recreational %
Jobs Supported2,664104,867107,5312%98%
Income ($millions)$72.7$4,726.0$4,7992%98%
GDP ($millions)$103.2$7,731.6$7,8351%99%
This analysis shows that while landing only 10% of the fish, the commercial fishery generates just 1-2% of the economic value. Conversely, the recreational fishery, which lands 90% of the fish, generates 98-99% of the jobs, income, and GDP associated with the species.

Management Context and Recent Actions​

Fishery managers have implemented various measures to rebuild the striped bass stock, affecting both commercial and recreational sectors. These actions are a response to the "overfished" status of the stock, not a reaction to specific instances of commercial overfishing.
For example, the Massachusetts Division of Marine Fisheries has moved to restrict access to its commercial striped bass fishery. However, the rationale provided in their official memorandum is not commercial misconduct, but the need to manage the fishery in light of coast-wide quota reductions proposed by the ASMFC to meet the 2029 rebuilding deadline . The memo notes that Massachusetts is the only state with an open-access commercial striped bass fishery and that the changes are necessary to "support and maintain commercial fishing opportunities for existing participants" .
In October 2025, the ASMFC's Atlantic Striped Bass Management Board voted against a proposal for further reductions in the commercial and recreational catch. This decision was influenced by new data showing a significant decline in recreational catch, suggesting that existing measures might be sufficient to meet rebuilding goals without inflicting further economic hardship on fishermen . Commercial watermen have emphasized that their quotas have already been cut by 46% since 2012 and that further reductions would be devastating to their livelihoods .

Conclusion​

The evidence from scientific stock assessments, fishery data, and economic reports does not support the claim that commercial overfishing is the cause of the Atlantic striped bass stock's current condition. The stock is classified as "overfished" due to a prolonged period of poor recruitment, not because of excessive current fishing pressure. The data clearly indicates that the recreational fishery is responsible for the vast majority (89%) of fishing mortality. While the commercial sector is subject to management actions, including quota reductions, these are part of a comprehensive, coast-wide strategy to rebuild the stock, a strategy that also heavily regulates the recreational sector.

References​

[1] NOAA Fisheries. "Atlantic Striped Bass." Accessed January 20, 2026.
[2] Atlantic States Marine Fisheries Commission. "Atlantic Striped Bass." Accessed January 20, 2026.
[3] Atlantic States Marine Fisheries Commission. "2024 Atlantic Striped Bass Stock Assessment Update Report." January 2025.
[4] McMurray, John. "What's Really Going On With Striped Bass?" Marine Fish Conservation Network. January 30, 2025.
[5] Massachusetts Division of Marine Fisheries. "Memorandum: Emergency Regulations to Restrict Access to Commercial Striped Bass Fishery in 2026." September 12, 2025.
[6] National Fisherman. "Mid-Atlantic watermen urge balance on striped bass cuts." November 6, 2025.
[7] Southwick Associates. "The Economic Contributions of Recreational and Commercial Striped Bass Fishing." McGraw Center for Conservation Leadership. April 12, 2019.
 

Investigating Claims of Commercial Overfishing in the Atlantic Striped Bass Fishery​

Date: January 20, 2026

Executive Summary​

Recent reports have raised concerns about the possibility of commercial overfishing impacting the Atlantic striped bass population. This report investigates these claims by analyzing the most current scientific assessments, fishery management documents, and economic data. The comprehensive review of the available evidence from sources including the Atlantic States Marine Fisheries Commission (ASMFC), the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), and independent research institutions indicates that the assertion of commercial overfishing being the primary driver of the striped bass population's current status is not supported by the data.
While the Atlantic striped bass stock is officially classified as overfished, meaning the population size is below its target, it is not experiencing overfishing, which means the current rate of removal is not considered excessive . The primary cause of the stock's condition is poor recruitment (spawning success) in recent years, not excessive fishing pressure from the commercial sector. Data consistently shows that the recreational fishery is responsible for the vast majority of fishing mortality, accounting for approximately 89% of all removals, while the commercial fishery accounts for about 10.5% .
Furthermore, economic analysis reveals that the recreational striped bass fishery generates a disproportionately large share of the economic benefits, contributing over 97% of the total economic output associated with the species . Management actions, such as quota reductions and permit restrictions in the commercial sector, are part of a broader, coast-wide effort to rebuild the stock to sustainable levels and are not indicative of isolated wrongdoing by commercial fishermen.

Current Stock Status​

The official stock status of Atlantic striped bass is a critical point of clarification. According to the 2024 stock assessment update, the stock is designated as "overfished," but fishing mortality is below the established threshold, meaning "overfishing is not occurring" .
•Overfished: This term indicates that the spawning stock biomass (the total weight of fish in the population capable of reproducing) is below a scientifically determined target level. The 2023 female spawning stock biomass was estimated at 191 million pounds, which is below both the threshold of 197 million pounds and the target of 247 million pounds .
•Overfishing is Not Occurring: This means that the current rate at which fish are being removed from the population is below the established sustainable limit. The 2023 fishing mortality rate was 0.18, which is below the threshold of 0.21 .
This distinction is crucial. The problem is not that fishermen are currently taking too many fish, but that the overall population size is too small due to several years of poor spawning success and recruitment of young fish into the population .

Sector Contributions to Fishing Mortality​

A detailed examination of removals from the striped bass stock clearly shows that the recreational sector accounts for the vast majority of fishing mortality. The 2024 Stock Assessment Update Report provides a detailed breakdown of removals, averaging data from 2022-2023 .
Removal SourcePercentage of Total RemovalsSector Total
Recreational Harvest49%89%
Recreational Release Mortality40%
Commercial Harvest10%10.5%
Commercial Discards0.5%
These figures demonstrate that the combined impact of the recreational fishery is nearly nine times greater than that of the commercial fishery. An article by the Marine Fish Conservation Network reinforces this point, stating, "Commercial fisheries for striped bass add up to around 10% of fishing mortality... So really, the commercial striped bass fishery is NOT responsible for any of the overfishing that’s occurred over the last decade or so" .

Economic Impact Analysis​

From an economic standpoint, the striped bass fishery is overwhelmingly driven by recreational angling. A comprehensive 2019 report by Southwick Associates for the McGraw Center for Conservation Leadership, using 2016 data, found that the recreational sector's economic contributions dwarf those of the commercial sector .
MetricCommercial FisheryRecreational FisheryTotalCommercial %Recreational %
Jobs Supported2,664104,867107,5312%98%
Income ($millions)$72.7$4,726.0$4,7992%98%
GDP ($millions)$103.2$7,731.6$7,8351%99%
This analysis shows that while landing only 10% of the fish, the commercial fishery generates just 1-2% of the economic value. Conversely, the recreational fishery, which lands 90% of the fish, generates 98-99% of the jobs, income, and GDP associated with the species.

Management Context and Recent Actions​

Fishery managers have implemented various measures to rebuild the striped bass stock, affecting both commercial and recreational sectors. These actions are a response to the "overfished" status of the stock, not a reaction to specific instances of commercial overfishing.
For example, the Massachusetts Division of Marine Fisheries has moved to restrict access to its commercial striped bass fishery. However, the rationale provided in their official memorandum is not commercial misconduct, but the need to manage the fishery in light of coast-wide quota reductions proposed by the ASMFC to meet the 2029 rebuilding deadline . The memo notes that Massachusetts is the only state with an open-access commercial striped bass fishery and that the changes are necessary to "support and maintain commercial fishing opportunities for existing participants" .
In October 2025, the ASMFC's Atlantic Striped Bass Management Board voted against a proposal for further reductions in the commercial and recreational catch. This decision was influenced by new data showing a significant decline in recreational catch, suggesting that existing measures might be sufficient to meet rebuilding goals without inflicting further economic hardship on fishermen . Commercial watermen have emphasized that their quotas have already been cut by 46% since 2012 and that further reductions would be devastating to their livelihoods .

Conclusion​

The evidence from scientific stock assessments, fishery data, and economic reports does not support the claim that commercial overfishing is the cause of the Atlantic striped bass stock's current condition. The stock is classified as "overfished" due to a prolonged period of poor recruitment, not because of excessive current fishing pressure. The data clearly indicates that the recreational fishery is responsible for the vast majority (89%) of fishing mortality. While the commercial sector is subject to management actions, including quota reductions, these are part of a comprehensive, coast-wide strategy to rebuild the stock, a strategy that also heavily regulates the recreational sector.

References​

[1] NOAA Fisheries. "Atlantic Striped Bass." Accessed January 20, 2026.
[2] Atlantic States Marine Fisheries Commission. "Atlantic Striped Bass." Accessed January 20, 2026.
[3] Atlantic States Marine Fisheries Commission. "2024 Atlantic Striped Bass Stock Assessment Update Report." January 2025.
[4] McMurray, John. "What's Really Going On With Striped Bass?" Marine Fish Conservation Network. January 30, 2025.
[5] Massachusetts Division of Marine Fisheries. "Memorandum: Emergency Regulations to Restrict Access to Commercial Striped Bass Fishery in 2026." September 12, 2025.
[6] National Fisherman. "Mid-Atlantic watermen urge balance on striped bass cuts." November 6, 2025.
[7] Southwick Associates. "The Economic Contributions of Recreational and Commercial Striped Bass Fishing." McGraw Center for Conservation Leadership. April 12, 2019.
Might want to update the posted title. As currently written, it implies that the article is about how commercial fishing is severely impacting the striped bass population, the exact opposite of the article’s conclusion.
 
Might want to update the posted title. As currently written, it implies that the article is about how commercial fishing is severely impacting the striped bass population, the exact opposite of the article’s conclusion.
The AI had to clip it but the heading of the article says otherwise.
 
The AI had to clip it but the heading of the article says otherwise.
You depend too heavily on AI. The article was very informative. Too bad it’s not programmed to compose a title consistent with the articles conclusion.
 
Actually, it did it on its own. It’s directed to keep us updated. The issue was with our forum software not allowing the entire title.
 
But we all know that 40% on release mortality is BS.
Be that as it may, you seem to be way too focused on this issue and I'm curious as to why you continue to do so. It seems to me as a case of looking at the trees instead of the forest. Even if there are less than 40% fish killed due to recreational release mortality, the entire population is coming to an abrupt nadir because of the SEVEN CONSECUTIVE SPAWNING FAILURES in the Chesapeake!!

IMO getting agita over whatever the release mortality truly is or isn't, doesn't even rate a trip to the bathroom to get the blue bottle of Brioschi. Think about it, even with more fish than ASMFC thinks there are, we're still not getting enough juvenile fish surviving their first year to ensure a strong, sustained future fishery.

Instead of marshalling all available funds, energy and research in trying to figure out how to fix that problem, different groups champion personal side bar agendas that have absolutely nothing to do with the single most critical issue for Atlantic Striped Bass.

SEVEN SPAWN FAILURES IN A ROW: anyone/group who continues to ignore it has no right to comment in 2030, "WTF happened to striped bass???"
 
You're right to question the numbers. Getting them right is not just a side issue; it's fundamental to whether we succeed or fail in rebuilding the striped bass population.

The entire management strategy is heavily influenced by the assumption that recreational release mortality accounts for a massive portion of all striped bass deaths. But this is based on a deeply flawed study where fish that simply went missing were declared dead. When we base a huge portion of the total mortality on a guess, we are not managing the fishery; we are managing a fiction.

And here is why that matters so much right now: while regulators are focused on restricting anglers based on these phantom numbers, we have had seven consecutive spawning failures in the Chesapeake Bay. That is not a projection or a model. It is a catastrophic reality that threatens the very future of the stock.

We cannot afford to be distracted. Chasing the ghost of inflated release mortality means we are not dedicating the necessary resources and urgency to the real crisis. We need to understand what is happening to the young-of-year fish in the Bay. Is it water quality? Lack of forage? Predation?

Getting the mortality number right is the first step to forcing management to look away from the recreational community and focus on the ecological disaster unfolding in the Chesapeake. If we don't correct the data, we will continue to misdiagnose the problem, and the fishery will pay the price. Let's get the numbers right so we can finally address the real problems.
 

Fishing Reports

Latest articles

Back
Top