Susie Angler
Administrator


Friday, July 18, 2025 - Daily Analysis & Predictions
Comprehensive Regional Breakdown with Expert Analysis

The fishing conditions across New York waters are absolutely phenomenal right now, with multiple species firing on all cylinders. The standout story continues to be the incredible bluefin tuna bite off Montauk, where fish ranging from 25 to 150 pounds are being caught consistently within 8-15 miles of the point. This represents one of the best early-season tuna bites we've seen in recent years, with both recreational and charter boats reporting multiple hookups daily.
The combination of favorable environmental factors is creating a perfect storm for fishing success. Today's Last Quarter moon phase at 45% illumination, coupled with moderate tidal ranges and diminishing northwest winds, has fish feeding aggressively across all depth zones. The solunar rating of 4 out of 5 stars indicates excellent fishing potential, with major feeding periods occurring from 7:56-9:56 AM and 8:17-10:17 PM.
What makes today particularly special is the convergence of multiple factors: the post-frontal conditions have stabilized water temperatures, baitfish are concentrated in predictable areas, and the moderate tidal flow is creating ideal feeding conditions for predatory species. From the Hudson River striped bass to the offshore pelagics, fish are responding to these optimal conditions with increased activity levels.

Current Marine Weather
The marine forecast shows improving conditions following yesterday's cold front passage. Northwest winds at 5 mph are creating calm seas with minimal wave action, providing excellent fishing conditions for both small and large vessels. Air temperatures of 77°F with water temperatures in the mid-70s are maintaining the thermal stratification that concentrates baitfish and attracts predatory species.
The barometric pressure has stabilized at high levels following the frontal passage, which typically triggers increased feeding activity as fish sense the stable conditions. Visibility is excellent with clear skies, allowing for effective sight fishing and bird watching for offshore species.
Tidal Analysis & Impact
Today's tide schedule presents excellent fishing opportunities with strategic timing being crucial for success. The morning low tide at 8:46 AM (0.3 ft) coincides perfectly with the major solunar period from 7:56-9:56 AM, creating ideal conditions for structure fishing and inlet fishing where current flow concentrates baitfish.
The afternoon high tide at 2:57 PM (5.3 ft) aligns with the minor solunar period from 3:08-4:08 PM, making this an excellent time for bay fishing and shallow water fluke fishing. The moderate tidal range of 5.0 feet provides sufficient current flow to activate feeding without creating overly strong currents that make fishing difficult.
The evening scenario is particularly promising, with the major solunar period from 8:17-10:17 PM occurring during the falling tide phase. This combination historically produces some of the best fishing of the day, as predatory fish use the current flow to ambush baitfish being swept from shallow feeding areas.
Moon Phase & Solunar Impact
The Last Quarter moon at 45% illumination creates optimal conditions for both day and night fishing. The moderate light levels encourage fish to feed during twilight periods while still providing enough illumination for effective night fishing. The waning phase traditionally correlates with increased feeding activity as fish prepare for the darker new moon period ahead.
The solunar rating of 4 out of 5 stars indicates excellent fishing potential, with the major periods offering the highest probability of success. The morning major period from 7:56-9:56 AM is particularly significant as it coincides with the traditional dawn feeding period and the low tide, creating a triple convergence of favorable factors.

MONTAUK & EAST END -





The East End continues to be the epicenter of the region's hottest fishing action, with bluefin tuna stealing the spotlight in what can only be described as a phenomenal bite. The fish have established themselves in a predictable pattern from 8 to 15 miles south of Montauk Point, with concentrations varying based on bait movements and water temperature breaks.
Charter captains are reporting consistent action with fish ranging from 25 to 150 pounds, with the majority falling in the 40-60 pound range. The versatility of techniques producing fish is remarkable - jigs, poppers, and trolled plugs are all working effectively. Captain Savio from Fishooker Charters noted that "some bigger ones are in the mix with the school bluefins," indicating the presence of larger fish that could provide trophy opportunities for prepared anglers.
The success rate has been extraordinary, with multiple boats reporting 15+ fish days. Tom Truehart's recent solo trip to the 30-fathom curve resulted in a 19 for 21 day, demonstrating the incredible density of fish in the area. The fact that he "left them biting" speaks to the abundance of the resource and the sustainable nature of the current bite.
Bottom fishing has also been productive, with large porgies moving into the area and providing excellent mixed-bag opportunities. Sea bass remain steady on the deeper structure, while the fluke bite has been consistent throughout the week. The diversity of species available makes Montauk an excellent choice for anglers seeking variety in their fishing experience.
For offshore enthusiasts, the deeper waters are producing bigeye tuna over 200 pounds, along with yellowfin, albacore, and occasional swordfish during night trips. This represents a complete offshore ecosystem that's firing on all cylinders.
LONG ISLAND SOUND -




The Long Island Sound continues to provide excellent fishing opportunities despite rising water temperatures. The key to success has been timing, with early morning and evening periods producing the best results as fish seek cooler water and increased oxygen levels.
Striped bass remain the primary target, with slot-size fish still available but becoming more selective as water temperatures rise. Captain Stu from Northport Charters reports that "slot-size stripers are still around but getting scarcer in the Sound as water temps rise," emphasizing the importance of timing and location selection.
The fluke fishing has been the standout performer in the Sound, with boats consistently finding keeper fish and the occasional doormat. The 6-pound doormat caught by Henry aboard Northport Charters demonstrates the quality fish available for persistent anglers. The key has been working the deeper channels and structure where fish seek cooler water during the heat of the day.
Porgy fishing is showing significant improvement, with "pork-chop-sized scup going in the pail" according to recent reports. The increasing size and numbers of porgies signal the beginning of the prime summer season for this species, providing excellent table fare and consistent action for family fishing trips.
Sea bass fishing is gaining momentum with "bigger keepers showing up daily," indicating that the summer sea bass bite is beginning to peak. The combination of fluke, porgies, and sea bass creates excellent mixed-bag opportunities for bottom fishing enthusiasts.
Weakfish are making sporadic appearances, adding an element of excitement for anglers targeting these prized gamefish. While not consistent, the presence of weakfish indicates healthy ecosystem conditions and provides opportunities for anglers seeking this challenging species.
SOUTH SHORE BAYS & OCEAN -




The South Shore is experiencing exceptional fishing conditions, with bay fishing actually outperforming ocean fishing for fluke in many areas. This unusual pattern is attributed to the concentration of baitfish in the back bays and the more stable water temperatures found in these protected waters.
Brandon Weitz from Causeway Bait and Tackle reports that "fluke fishing in the bay is outperforming the reefs, with multiple 5- to 8-pounders weighed in, plus a 10.3-pounder caught on spearing and squid." This represents exceptional fishing by any standard and demonstrates the quality of fish available in the bay systems.
The Captree Fleet is finding consistent limits in the bay, with both recreational and charter boats experiencing excellent success rates. The combination of abundant baitfish and optimal water conditions has created a feeding frenzy that's benefiting anglers at all skill levels.
Cobia have arrived around bunker schools, providing an exciting new target species for South Shore anglers. These powerful fish offer a completely different fishing experience and have been responding to both live bait and artificial lures worked around the bait schools.
The shark fishing has been exceptional, with various species being encountered around the bunker schools and in the deeper waters off the beach. This provides opportunities for anglers seeking the ultimate challenge and the chance to battle these apex predators.
Offshore tuna action extends from midshore to the canyon areas, with bluefin, yellowfin, and mahi all being caught consistently. The diversity of pelagic species available makes the South Shore an excellent launching point for offshore adventures.
NEW YORK HARBOR & HUDSON RIVER -



The urban fishing scene continues to provide excellent opportunities for anglers seeking convenient access to quality fishing. The diversity of species available in these waters makes them an excellent choice for anglers with limited time or transportation options.
Porgy fishing has been the standout performer, with Bernie's Bait and Tackle in Brooklyn reporting "hot porgy action" throughout the harbor area. These fish provide excellent table fare and consistent action, making them ideal for family fishing trips and novice anglers.
Striped bass and bluefish remain available but have become more selective in their feeding patterns. The key to success has been using live bait and fishing during optimal tide and light conditions. The fish are present but require more skill and patience to consistently catch.
Sheepshead fishing has emerged as a popular target, with anglers using MagicTail jigs tipped with worm, crab, or clam around bridge pilings and structure. These challenging fish provide excellent sport and superior table fare for anglers willing to master the specialized techniques required.
The black drum fishing has been exceptional, with Captain Josh Rogers of The Gypsea reporting an epic night trip that "landed 10 fish to around 70 lbs, while releasing quite a few and breaking off many more." This represents world-class fishing for one of the most challenging species in local waters.


The bluefin tuna bite represents the story of the season, with fish establishing predictable patterns that savvy anglers can exploit for consistent success. The concentration of fish from 8-15 miles south of Montauk Point has created a situation where both experienced and novice offshore anglers can experience world-class fishing.
The size range from 25-150 pounds provides opportunities for all types of tackle and fishing styles. Smaller boats can target the school fish in closer waters, while larger vessels can venture further offshore for the chance at larger specimens. The technique versatility is remarkable, with jigs, poppers, and trolled plugs all producing fish consistently.
The timing of this bite is particularly significant, as it's occurring earlier in the season than typical patterns would suggest. This early arrival and concentration of fish indicates excellent ocean conditions and abundant forage, suggesting the bite could continue well into the traditional peak season.
Water temperature breaks and bait concentrations are the key factors determining daily fishing success. Anglers should focus on areas where temperature changes of 2-3 degrees occur, as these thermal boundaries concentrate both bait and predatory fish.

Striped bass fishing is entering a transitional phase as water temperatures rise and fish adjust their feeding patterns and locations. The key to continued success lies in understanding these changing patterns and adapting techniques accordingly.
In the Long Island Sound, fish are becoming more selective but remain catchable for anglers who adjust their timing and techniques. Early morning and evening periods are producing the best results, with fish seeking cooler water and increased oxygen levels during these optimal feeding windows.
The Hudson River and harbor areas continue to provide consistent opportunities, with fish responding to live bait presentations and properly timed artificial lure fishing. The urban fishery remains strong, providing excellent opportunities for shore-based and small boat anglers.
Montauk continues to produce quality fish, though the focus has shifted somewhat to the offshore tuna bite. Anglers specifically targeting stripers should focus on the traditional structure and current areas during optimal tide and light conditions.

The fluke fishing pattern has shifted dramatically, with bay systems outperforming traditional ocean fishing areas. This unusual pattern is creating exceptional opportunities for anglers with smaller boats and those seeking more protected fishing conditions.
The South Shore bays are producing fish in the 5-8 pound range consistently, with occasional doormat fish exceeding 10 pounds. The key has been using fresh bait, particularly spearing and squid, and focusing on areas with good current flow and structure.
Long Island Sound fluke fishing remains steady, with the deeper channels and structure producing the most consistent results. The combination of fluke with porgies and sea bass creates excellent mixed-bag opportunities for bottom fishing enthusiasts.
Technique refinement is crucial for success, with proper drift speed, bait presentation, and structure selection determining daily success rates. Anglers should focus on areas where current flow creates feeding opportunities while maintaining contact with bottom structure.

Optimal Fishing Times Today
Based on the convergence of solunar, tidal, and environmental factors, the following time periods offer the highest probability of fishing success:
**PRIME TIME: 8:17 PM - 10:17 PM**
This evening major solunar period coincides with falling tide conditions, creating the optimal feeding scenario for predatory fish. The moderate moon illumination provides excellent visibility for both fish and anglers while maintaining the low-light conditions that encourage aggressive feeding.
**EXCELLENT: 7:56 AM - 9:56 AM**
The morning major solunar period aligns with the low tide and traditional dawn feeding period, creating a triple convergence of favorable factors. This timing is particularly effective for structure fishing and inlet areas where current flow concentrates baitfish.
**VERY GOOD: 3:08 PM - 4:08 PM**
The afternoon minor solunar period coincides with high tide, making this an excellent time for bay fishing and shallow water species. The increased water depth allows access to areas that may be unfishable during low tide periods.
Technique Recommendations by Area
**Montauk Offshore:** Focus on jig and pop techniques during active feeding periods, with trolling as a search method to locate fish concentrations. Maintain multiple rod setups to capitalize on the variety of techniques producing fish.
**Long Island Sound:** Emphasize early morning and evening fishing with live bait presentations for striped bass. Bottom fishing during mid-day periods for fluke, porgies, and sea bass mixed bags.
**South Shore Bays:** Concentrate on fluke fishing with fresh bait during moving tide periods. Focus on channel edges and structure where current flow creates feeding opportunities.
**Harbor Areas:** Target porgies and sheepshead around structure during slack tide periods when fish are most accessible. Use specialized techniques and fresh bait for optimal results.

Saturday, July 19 - Continued Excellence
**North Shore (Hudson to Long Island Sound):** Light southwest winds 5-10 mph, seas 1-2 feet. Excellent conditions for all fishing activities with continued strong fluke and mixed-bag bottom fishing. Striped bass fishing best during twilight periods.
**South Shore (Upper NJ to Shinnecock):** Southwest winds 5-10 mph, seas 2-3 feet. Outstanding bay fishing conditions continue with fluke bite remaining strong. Ocean fishing improves with calmer conditions.
**Offshore:** Southwest winds 10-15 mph, seas 3-4 feet. Excellent tuna fishing conditions continue with fish expected to remain in established patterns. Slightly increased wind may concentrate fish in specific areas.
Sunday, July 20 - Peak Weekend Conditions
**North Shore:** Light variable winds becoming southwest 5-10 mph, seas 1-2 feet. Prime weekend fishing conditions with all species active. Increased boat traffic may require early departure for best fishing.
**South Shore:** Southwest winds 10-15 mph, seas 2-3 feet. Continued excellent bay fishing with ocean conditions remaining favorable for offshore activities.
**Offshore:** Southwest winds 10-15 mph, seas 3-5 feet. Tuna bite expected to remain strong with potential for increased yellowfin activity as water temperatures stabilize.
Monday, July 21 - Transitional Conditions
**North Shore:** Southwest winds increasing to 15-20 mph, seas 2-4 feet. Fishing remains good but conditions become more challenging for smaller vessels.
**South Shore:** Southwest winds 15-20 mph, seas 3-5 feet. Bay fishing remains excellent while ocean fishing becomes more selective based on vessel size and angler experience.
**Offshore:** Southwest winds 15-20 mph, seas 4-6 feet. Tuna fishing continues for experienced offshore anglers with proper vessels. Fish may concentrate in more protected areas.

The current fishing conditions represent a convergence of favorable factors that create exceptional opportunities across all fishing disciplines. The early arrival and concentration of bluefin tuna off Montauk indicates excellent ocean conditions that should continue to benefit all pelagic species throughout the season.
The shift in fluke fishing patterns, with bay systems outperforming ocean areas, represents an adaptation to changing environmental conditions that savvy anglers can exploit for consistent success. This pattern is likely to continue as water temperatures rise and fish seek the more stable conditions found in protected waters.
The diversity of species currently available provides opportunities for anglers at all skill levels and with varying equipment capabilities. From the urban porgy fishing to the offshore tuna bite, the region offers world-class fishing opportunities within a relatively compact geographic area.
Looking ahead, the key factors to monitor include water temperature trends, baitfish movements, and weather pattern stability. The current high-pressure system is providing the stable conditions that fish prefer, and any significant weather changes could impact fishing patterns.
The solunar activity levels suggest that fish feeding patterns will remain predictable and intense, providing excellent opportunities for anglers who time their trips to coincide with major feeding periods. The combination of favorable moon phase, optimal tidal ranges, and stable weather creates the perfect scenario for exceptional fishing success.


Report compiled by Manus AI - Your Digital Fishing Expert
Next update: Saturday, July 19, 2025