Weather

[Chinacat]

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I saw that too!
Euro model is still going Big for east end....

 

[Macks]

I saw that too!
Euro model is still going Big for east end....

Chanel 7 is saying 12 to 24 for out East..

 

[Chinacat]

First I'm seeing them officially use the B word for eastern LI

 

[wader]

looking like I could be in the 6 to 8" range - yikes

 

[ag3]

Models are still not agreeing. So I can’t go with an exact amount.

0”-3”: 12.5% chance
3”-6”: 50% chance
6”-10”: 25% chance
10”-15: 12.5% chance

This is all I can go with for now. Maybe tomorrow morning, we’ll have a model consensus.

 

[jpd]

Models are still not agreeing. So I can’t go with an exact amount.

0”-3”: 12.5% chance
3”-6”: 50% chance
6”-10”: 25% chance
10”-15: 12.5% chance

This is all I can go with for now. Maybe tomorrow morning, we’ll have a model consensus.

I'm expecting a dud, lol.

 

[pequa1]

probably more a problem re: coastal flooding anyway

 

[ag3]

I'm expecting a dud, lol.

There are a couple models that are duds but even those give LI a decent 4”-8”. LI is getting snow. Just how much is the question.

We still do not have model consensus which is amazing being only 24-30 hours out.

 

[Chinacat]

There are a couple models that are duds but even those give LI a decent 4”-8”. LI is getting snow. Just how much is the question.

We still do not have model consensus which is amazing being only 24-30 hours out.

Thanks Al

 

[ag3]

Models are still not agreeing. So I can’t go with an exact amount.

0”-3”: 12.5% chance
3”-6”: 50% chance
6”-10”: 25% chance
10”-15: 12.5% chance

This is all I can go with for now. Maybe tomorrow morning, we’ll have a model consensus.

OK. After more modeling digested, I can narrow it down a bit more:

NW of NYC into NWNJ: 3"-6"
NYC metro/Nassau County/SWCT: 5"-10"

E. Nassau/Suffolk County: 10"-20"+ (more east)

If I see a drastic change tonight or tomorrow morning, I will update one more time.

 

[Chinacat]

OK. After more modeling digested, I can narrow it down a bit more:

NW of NYC into NWNJ: 3"-6"
NYC metro/Nassau County/SWCT: 5"-10"

E. Nassau/Suffolk County: 10"-20"+ (more east)

If I see a drastic change tonight or tomorrow morning, I will update one more time.

Thanks Al!
So its looking like the 12-18" with possibly more out here on the south fork I've been seeing is very possible

 

[longcast]

OK. After more modeling digested, I can narrow it down a bit more:

NW of NYC into NWNJ: 3"-6"
NYC metro/Nassau County/SWCT: 5"-10"

E. Nassau/Suffolk County: 10"-20"+ (more east)

If I see a drastic change tonight or tomorrow morning, I will update one more time.

Thank you for the update!

 

[cany]

OK. After more modeling digested, I can narrow it down a bit more:

NW of NYC into NWNJ: 3"-6"
NYC metro/Nassau County/SWCT: 5"-10"

E. Nassau/Suffolk County: 10"-20"+ (more east)

If I see a drastic change tonight or tomorrow morning, I will update one more time.

Thanks Again Al

 

[ag3]

The scary thing with this event is that minor shifts can screw up everything. 50 mile shift east, and NYC and Nassau get very little and Suffolk would get much less. 50 mile shift west and we all get buried, 20".

That's how tight this storm is. I dont feel comfortable with the amounts yet but I am taking a stab at it.

If I see a drastic shift east or west, I will update tomorrow morning.

 

[jpd]

Must be wobbling west

 

[BennyV]

looking like I could be in the 6 to 8" range - yikes

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View attachment 43649

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Better go see the market lady and get your supplies.

 

[wader]

Better go see the market lady and get your supplies.

that'll be Saturday morning at best - noticed when coming back from meeting Capt13 & Sandspinner this evening that they've already starting treating the roads (saline) so VDOT must be expecting something

 

[BennyV]

that'll be Saturday morning at best - noticed when coming back from meeting Capt13 & Sandspinner this evening that they've already starting treating the roads (saline) so VDOT must be expecting something

They bribed the roadways over here also. Multiple trucks. Multiple times.

 

[pequa1]

Doesn’t work well below 18 degrees and a heavy snow laughs it off. Plus it is hell on metal cars!!

 

[wader]

Doesn’t work well below 18 degrees and a heavy snow laughs it off. Plus it is hell on metal cars?

I actually never really saw what good it does but I guess when you don't have plows try anything in the tool shed.