Hi guys.
Looks like our 1st real snowstorm in years is coming. Models are all getting colder and snowier as we approach the event. That usually means to lean on the snowier models.
In my opinion, this is a widespread 4"-8"/5"-10" type snowfall.
Will start as rain at around 4am and then flip...
Monday night into Tuesday storm:
There will be a strong noreaster that stalls and takes it time to leave the area. Coastal flooding and beach erosion could be moderate to severe.
Depending on the exact track, it could be all rain/mostly rain or it could be a blizzard.
Right now I would lean...
Tomorrow night has marginal temps. 33-35 degrees.
I believe 1”-3” of wet snow for coastal areas. 2”-5” north and west of NYC.
There is potential for a much larger storm for March 3-4. Track is undetermined still and would be the difference between 10” and rain.
Update. Some models have a chance of a minor accumulating snow fall or 2 next week.
Decent chance at finally seeing our 1st accumulating event next week.
Quick update. Snow chance for Jan. 25-27 quickly fell apart on the models.
It's one of those years where it just doesn't want to snow.
I will update if anything changes in February.
Hi everyone. Just a quick update.
Winter tries to make a return Jan. 25-Feb. 5th period.
Some models are keying in on Jan. 25-27 period for our 1st real snow event.
Something to keep an eye out for.
The next 10-12 days will be well above normal. Temps will be in the 50s and 60s most days.
The prospects of a snowy winter are quickly falling. NYC winters with a trace or 0" through January 10th, only average about 13" in their 150+ year history.
But like in 2016, a rogue blizzard could...
Dont fall for the flash freeze talk that some inexperienced people are touting either. Wont happen.
Rain shuts off 3-6 hours before the front and temps crash. Winds will switch to the NW, which brings in very dry air and any rain will dry out before the freeze ever gets to the coast.
The only...
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