HENRI

[cany]

Thanks Al as always

 

[ag3]

Not a meteorologist but I think it will get a ton of energy and hit as a strong cat 1/cat 2.

Hope not.

No sense of urgency in the air. Guess everyone forgot Sandy that wasn't even a hurricane!!!!

Sandy was a Category 3 hurricane that phased with an ULL to form a superstorm. It had Category 3 pressure, which caused category 3 storm surge and Category 1 winds.

This storm is nowhere near Sandy. Not even close. Sandy was a beast.

 

[ag3]

L

Landfall between smithtown and Montauk

Landfall is Hamptons to Rhode Island. The majority of models miss LI now and landfall near Block Island and RI.

The only reason why LI is in play is because the Euro has a Hamptons landfall. But it’s on its own and in my experience never pick the outlier model and use the consensus.

This is why I’m going with a Block Island and RI landfall.

 

[ag3]

The biggest surge is east of the center. With the southerly winds and the push of water at the same time from the hurricane. Landfall Block Island or east spares LI from the surge.

 

[Hoppkorv]

During Sandy, boats with plug out sank at drydock.

Huh???

 

[cany]

Huh???

Im guessing drydock got flooded

 

[Avenger]

Huh???

On the hard.

Boats that were on the hard got floated and then sank because the plugs were out.

 

[Bassmaster]

Torrential downpours in queens now

 

[Bassmaster]

Flood advisory for the five boroughs of nyc 1-2 inches of rain.

 

[Bassmaster]

Flash flooding is likely

 

[Hoppkorv]

On the hard.

Boats that were on the hard got floated and then sank because the plugs were out.

Ahh...got it.
I doubt that'll happen on my street but with the way it's raining right now ya never know

 

[longcast]

Quick update. Models have shifted east the last 24 hours. And weaker.

I don’t want to downplay it, but it’s nowhere near as bad as it looked 2-3 days ago.

The landfall zone right now is Hamptons to Block Island and east. I would favor Block Island.

The biggest threat now is flooding rains. 3”-8” widespread.

Things can shift quickly so I will update once more time if I see drastic changes.

In terms of intensity, I don’t see this stronger than a high end Tropical Storm or weak Category 1. Favoring a Tropical Storm at landfall. Sustained winds 50-65mph with gusts to 70-80.

Thank you for your updates!!!

 

[WhatKnot]

Good rain in Astoria, but nothing too dramatic. We will see.

 

[Bassmaster]

Flash flood warning for manhattan

 

[Bassmaster]

...HENRI MOVING QUICKLY TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST... ...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE, HURRICANE CONDITIONS, AND FLOODING RAINFALL EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY...

 

[Bassmaster]

Flash flood warning Bronk Nassau queens

 

[pequa1]

I put away all my umbrellas, pool stuff, all my yard ornaments. filled up a couple of gas cans for the genny and both vehicles, charged up everything that would need charging, tied a tarp down with multiple lines over the hardly ever used boat, tied outdoor chairs to a wrought iron bench, upended picnic benches, etc etc. Truck onto driveway. Of course its going to be east of Montauk, lol.

 

[Bassmaster]

...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE, HURRICANE CONDITIONS, AND FLOODING RAINFALL ARE EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST UNITED STATES BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT OR ON SUNDAY...

11:00 PM EDT Sat Aug 21 Location: 38.6°N 71.0°W Moving: N at 21 mph Min pressure: 987 mb Max sustained: 75 mph

 

[Bassmaster]

11pm

 

[WhatKnot]

Good rain in Astoria, but nothing too dramatic. We will see.

Much more dramatic in Astoria now.