Showers and thunderstorms are increasing in association with a tropical wave located near Hispaniola and the Turks and Caicos
Islands. An area of low pressure is expected to form along the wave tonight or early Friday when it moves near the southeast
Bahamas. This low is expected to become a tropical depression when it is in the vicinity of the central and northwest Bahamas late
Friday or over the weekend and then track northwestward or northward over the southwestern Atlantic. Interests in the Dominican Republic, Haiti, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and the Bahamas should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of development, heavy rains and gusty winds are likely across that region during the next couple of days. While there is significant uncertainty in the long-range track and intensity of the system, the chances of wind, rainfall, and storm
surge impacts for a portion of the southeast U.S. coast are increasing. Interests in that area should monitor the progress of
the system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
