The stock market

I think it will be a low key day to absorb this great rebound and then Monday...NEW ENERGY AND SUCKERS! LOL

So Donny my man I say down a wee bit i pick "A"
 
GDP rose by 2.6% in 3Q22 after two straight quarters of negative prints. Recession watch is still on however.

MarKET looks HIGHER!!
net trade contributed to 2.77% of this number, or 108% of the bottom line!


According to the BEA, the upturn in the third quarter, compared to the second quarter, primarily reflected a smaller decrease in private inventory investment, an upturn in government spending, and an acceleration in nonresidential fixed investment that were partly offset by a larger decrease in residential fixed investment and a deceleration in consumer spending. Imports turned down.

But, again, it was all about trade...

Net exports contributed 2.77ppt to GDP growth, or more than 100% of the total, as the trade deficit receded in the third quarter.
— Neil Irwin (@Neil_Irwin) October 27, 2022
... as the following breakdown shows:

  • Personal Consumption: 0.97% of the bottom line number, down from 1.38% and the lowest since 2019.
  • Fixed Investment subtracted -0.89% from the GDP, in line with last month's -0.92% as corporations continue to retrench ahead of the recession
  • The change in private inventories shrank for the 3rd quarter, this time shrinking GDP by -0.70%
  • On the positive side net exports rose by 2.77% courtesy of a 1.63% increase in exports and a decline in imports which contributed another 1.14% to the GDP print. As noted above, this alone was enough to explain the entire gain in Q3 GDP, and is a function of US support of the European war economy as the US exports record amount of commodities (oil and gas) as well as weapons to Europe.
  • Finally, government consumption - which was and remains an oxymoron - added 0.42% to the bottom line GDP.
 
UPDATED MON, OCT 31 20227:47 AM EDT
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Stock futures slide on Monday with the Dow on track for best month since 1976!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 
FED DAY!!! Another interest rate increase and probably more to come.

Don't fight the fed when they go down...and don't fight them when they go up!!

TRANSLATION>> The stock market will head back down...S+P could easily got to around 2500 making a near 50% drop in the market

GOOD NEWS...You can make 3-4% on a savings account
BAD NEWS....Credit card and mortgage interest rates going up

INFLATION...CC RATES UP....MORTGAGE RATES UP...MARKET GOING DOWN

DESTINATION FUKKED!!! CAPITOL ONE IS 3% ON SAVINGS NOW AND WILL INCREASE AFTER TODAYS FED TALK....NOT BAD

Rough times ahead and in this environment things could get Dangerous.
 
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