The stock market

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Palantir wins $100M US contract for AI targeting tech

(Bloomberg) -- Palantir Technologies Inc. has won a $100 million contract that will extend access to artificial intelligence targeting tools to more US military personnel, giving them access to the company’s digital warfare platform.Most Read from BloombergAOC Proposes $30 Billion Social Housing...

finance.yahoo.com

Look at their YTD​

I did not catch "all of that", but still very, very happy!

2/8/2024 - 3/19/2024 $23.95 average entry cost

 

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2/8/2024 - 3/19/2024 $23.95 average entry cost

TIME MACHINE FLIPPY?? LOL

 

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Here are five key things investors need to know to start the trading day:

1. Apple’s far from the tree​

Stocks rose Tuesday as investors bet that President Donald Trump’s approach on tariffs won’t be as harsh as they initially feared. The 30-stock Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 538 points, or 1.2%, while the S&P 500 rose 0.9% and the Nasdaq Composite added 0.6%. Some of the big tech stocks were higher for the day, with Amazon, Nvidia and Alphabet each adding more than 1%, but Apple dropped nearly 4% on two downgrades. Follow live market updates.

2. Netflix numbers​

PARIS, FRANCE - NOVEMBER 05: In this photo illustration, the Netflix media service provider’s logo is displayed on the screen of a television on November 05, 2024 in Paris, France. The National Financial Prosecutor’s Office (PNF) and police officers from the anti-corruption office are conducting all-out searches this morning targeting the French subsidiary of Netflix. An investigation has been opened for “aggravated tax fraud laundering” and “concealed work in an organized gang”. (Photo illustration by Chesnot/Getty Images)
Chesnot | Getty Images News | Getty Images

Netflix shares surged nearly 15% in extended trading after the company beat earnings expectations. The streamer reported a record addition of 19 million subscribers, topping 300 million paid memberships. It’s the last time the company will report quarterly paid subscriber counts. It cited its content lineup, improved product and typical fourth-quarter seasonality for the bump. Netflix also announced it would raise prices for subscribers, including by hiking prices on its ad-supported tier for the first time.

3. Davos dish​

A general view of the World Economic Forum (WEF) Annual Meeting as it convenes under the theme of ‘Collaboration for the Intelligent Age’ in Davos, Switzerland on January 20, 2025.
Anadolu | Anadolu | Getty Images
The World Economic Forum kicked off this week in Davos, Switzerland, bringing heads of state, politicians and business moguls to the snowy Alps. Some world leaders are skipping this year’s meeting, but President Donald Trump is planning to address participants via videolink on Thursday. Trump was a key topic of discussion Tuesday as leaders weighed what impact his policies could have on markets and business. CEOs also issued stark warnings on Europe’s future. Read more about what’s going on in Davos here.

4. A lift for United​

A United Airlines airplane proceeds to a runway at Newark Liberty International Airport in front of the skyline of lower Manhattan and One World Trade Center in New York City on December 4, 2024, in Newark, New Jersey.
Gary Hershorn | Corbis News | Getty Images
United Airlines blew past analysts’ expectations when it reported fourth-quarter earnings Tuesday. The carrier also forecast first-quarter earnings that surpassed analysts’ estimates, as the company hopes strong travel demand will help it grow in 2025. Revenue for its loyalty program grew, as did revenue for international, domestic and basic economy class. The airline will hold a conference call with analysts Wednesday at 10:30 a.m. ET.

5. Everything’s coming up crypto​

Mark Uyeda, a commissioner at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, speaks at the 2023 Milken Institute Global Conference in Beverly Hills, California, U.S., May 2, 2023.
Mike Blake | Reuters
The interim head of the Securities and Exchange Commission has launched a “crypto task force.” Acting Chair Mark Uyeda’s initiative is aimed at “developing a comprehensive and clear regulatory framework for crypto assets” and is the first sign that the SEC under the Trump administration will be friendlier to cryptocurrency. Bitcoin rallied on the announcement, rising roughly 2.4% to more than $106,000. Greenlight Capital’s David Einhorn, meanwhile, is less sure about crypto, saying we have reached the “Fartcoin” stage of the market cycle.

 

[dsedy]

2/8/2024 - 3/19/2024 $23.95 average entry cost

Great entry bud!

 

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FLIP AND FLOP

Stock market today: Dow gains 500 points, stocks close near records as Trump holds off on tariffs

LOL

 

[longcast]

Great entry bud!

Yes, and as you can see, I mentioned it for all in September of 2024. No flip/flop there.

Pure "guru"!!

Although there is only one Guru Flippy in this thread.

 

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you're the best FLIPPY!!!!

Futures point to a higher open

Small caps lagging after big up day

 

[longcast]

Come on man! Pick a side Flippy!

 

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We will get a Santa rally....da boys need dem bonuses!!!

What Happened to the Santa Claus Rally This Year? - NerdWallet

The Santa Claus rally is a pattern of abnormally high stock market returns at the end of many years. Here's what its absence this year might mean for markets.

www.nerdwallet.com

Historical data shows that the so-called “Santa Claus rally” is often a real phenomenon. However, we didn't get a Santa Claus rally this year. Here's what that could mean for markets in 2025.

Was there a Santa Claus rally at the end of 2024?​

No, there was no 2024 Santa Claus rally. Between December 24, 2024 and January 3, 2025, the S&P 500 fell by more than 1.5%.


FLOP for Flippy!

 

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Stocks are like baseball...batting over 500 is great...............

sucks to be YOU! H.G. WELLS lolololololol

 

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Most folks in the market root for other folks in the market to do well. At least the traders I chat with.

Acting like a fool again Flippy

 

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Most folks in the market root for other folks in the market to do well. At least the traders I chat with.

Acting like a fool again Flippy

View attachment 90343

EDUCATE YOURSELF BOY!!

The traders you chat with are idiots ....on every side of a winning trade is a LOSER.......<<< THAT BE YOU...TRADERS ARE CUT THROAT

Now you girls run along before cany gets upset for this back and forth.......he gets very very angry

go return some empty bottles and at least make sumptin today

HEHE

 

[dsedy]

Actually, they're some of the most sophisticated option and future's traders I've ever met. And most are very helpful with strategy and tactics. Some sit on desks or use to. Many are retail who make a living out of trading. Buddy in London makes 5-10K a day. On Tuesday he made 80K. No one is competing with each other. When we trade, we compete with ourselves, to make us better and learn. Thats pretty much it.

As far as winners and losers in a trade, yes and no. If I buy 10 option contracts on SPX, the dealer on the CME or CBOT who I bought from automatically delta hedges by selling the equivalent notional $ amount in ES futures to flatten out exposure. Their neutral. They could care less either way they just balance their books from a risk management perspective.

Carry on Flippy.

 

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Well Don....that's great. Maybe you can chime in more often and give some insight to others here not so savvy on all this. That actually was the original purpose I started this topic but personal feelings got in the way of all that.

This is a tough game and 90% in it are sheep or shouldn't even be in it.

I still stick to the simple way is to just dollar cost avg into an S+P index fund at an early age and save yourself the hard knocks of trading and retire wealthy.

Futures and options .....avg joe....don't even think about it

love floppy

In the 90s I blew up a trading account shorting......It was a POS but still had big MOMO......Kablooey getting called in......lessons aint cheap. Never happened again

 

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He Secured a $500 Billion private investment today for US domestic AI infrastructure from Masa San at SoftBank, Open AI, and Oracle
Huge!!!

Winning and leadership at its best!

Elon Musk bashes the $500 billion AI project Trump announced, claiming its backers don’t ‘have the money’​

 

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From Goldman on Tuesday ( a little dated)

Eq Positioning and Key Levels FICC and Equities | 21 January 2025 | 4:20PM UTC Please see below for a consolidated recap of the various GS positioning metrics.

Summary: 1. CTA Corner: We have CTAs modeled long +$70bn of global equities (43rd %tile) after buying +$13bn of equities last week globally. We have this cohort as small buyers of equities globally in every scenario over the next week (link). 2. GS PB: The GS Equity Fundamental L/S Performance Estimate2 rose +0.19% between 1/10 and 1/16 (vs MSCI World TR +0.41%), driven by beta of +0.31% partially offset by alpha of -0.11% on the back of short side losses.

The GS Equity Systematic L/S Performance Estimate2 rose +0.84% during the same period, driven almost entirely by positive alpha on the back of long side gains (link). 3. Buybacks: We continue to move through the corporate blackout window, estimated to end ~1/24. Our flows remain light as blackout continues (link).

Charts in Focus: Sentiment Indicator, US Panic Index, SPX vs. Singles Skew, Call Skew vs. Put Skew, S&P Futures Liquidity, Funding Spreads vs. S&P 500. CTA Corner CTA Flows:
• Over the next 1 week… o
Flat tape: +$34bn to buy (+$6.5bn SPX to buy) o
Up tape: +$38bn to buy (+$6bn SPX to buy) o
Down tape: +$4bn to buy (-$3bn SPX to sell) •

Over the next 1 month…
o Flat tape: +$55bn to buy (+$7bn SPX to buy)
o Up tape: +$104bn to buy (+$17bn SPX to buy)
o Down tape: $124bn to sell (-$32bn SPX to sell)

• Key pivot levels for SPX:
o Short term: 5959
o Med term: 5795
o Long term: 5314

 

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From BOA Friday 1/24

New presidential term brings shake-up to CTA positioning President Trump’s first week back in office brought with it remarkable moves higher in US equities but lower in the US dollar. In fact, the S&P 500 saw its best 4-day start to a presidential term since Reagan’s second term began in 1985, but notably it was also the worst start for the US dollar in DXY’s history back to 1967. With trend followers stretched long USD and only moderately long US equities, the SG CTA benchmark posted declines on the week. In FX, our model covered short EUR, GBP, and AUD positions this week and is still short CAD and MXN. We note that trigger levels vary among actual CTAs and that trend followers still short EUR, GBP, and AUD could reduce the size of their positions in the coming days especially if USD continues its decline. Our model’s CAD and MXN triggers are 80bps and 2.6% away, respectively, and we will be closely monitoring them as the president continues discussing his plans for tariffs on Canada and Mexico (see Tariff talk for G10 FX: 23-Jan-25). In bonds, CTAs remain stretched short TY and Bund futures and stretched long CGBs. CTAs could be buyers of equities and especially in Europe The S&P 500 setting a new all-time high this week should bring with it a reaccumulation of trend follower longs which according to our model were at moderate levels.

The pace of buying in the week ahead looks to be gradual, however. On the other hand, in Europe we expect trend followers to rapidly build EURO STOXX 50 longs, possibly leaving the position stretched in size by the end of next week. CTAs could also be buyers of Nikkei 225 futures after the index’s 3.9% gain this week. CTA Oil long nearing elevated levels, Gold long building In commodities, our model indicates that some CTAs may grow long Oil positions to stretched levels despite crude futures falling for 6 straight trading days. This comes from December data leaving short-term moving average windows and implies that longer term trend followers may not be as eager to buy. Meanwhile, CTAs are likely moderately long Gold and could add to that position. In other commodities, our model projects CTAs are likely to add to Natural Gas, LP Copper, and Corn longs.

SPX gamma is currently large in size but may be volatile SPX gamma started 2025 relatively minimal in size and has averaged long $3.3bn since the start of the year through the close of Friday Jan 17th. However, over the last week SPX gamma has grown considerably and ended Thursday at +$15.2bn (98th 1y %ile). Under the hood, the current gamma profile is almost entirely (~$11bn gamma) due to options expiring over the next week. Consequently, gamma has the potential to be volatile near-term, e.g., as these short-dated options expire.

 

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Tariffs and Deepseek AI announcement from China weighing on futures overnight so far
very ugly

 

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DeepSeek Buzz Puts Tech Stocks on Track for $1.2 Trillion Drop

Stock Market Today: Nvidia Stock Sinks in AI Rout Sparked by China's DeepSeek​

Futures for tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 fall more than 4%​

look out below

DeepSeek story is bad news for Nvidia and the microchip makers. It may be worse for these stocks.​

Nuclear plays have surged over the last month and last year on AI hopes that may not come to fruition.​

 

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NASDAQ LOOKS TO OPEN DOWN 768 POINTS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Wouldn't be surprised if it closed down 1000